The question tonight is: which Tony awards won’t the Broadway juggernaut, Hamilton, take home? Among the Broadway theater industry, Hamilton fatigue is very real. But it won’t stop the show from winning most of the evening’s trophies, because even the fatigued voters figure that their vote in the direction of another nominee will be pointless. They’re probably right.

Even though nominee Lin Manuel Miranda is unlikely to win the award for Best Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical, Hamilton will still take home a Tony in that category; Miranda’s co-star Leslie Odom, Jr., who plays Hamilton’s nemesis, Aaron Burr, is considered the superior performance. Hamilton fans will have to be satisfied knowing that Mr. Miranda will win the awards for Best Score and Best Book. Those prizes are handed out during the pre-telecast, which means that fans eager to see him step to up the podium will have to wait until the end of the night, when the show wins Best Musical.

Here are the Parcbench.live 2016 Tony Award predictions (“X” marks the likely winner):

BEST PLAY

Eclipsed (Author: Danai Gurira)

The Father (Author: Florian Zeller)

[X] The Humans (Author: Stephen Karam)

King Charles III (Author: Mike Bartlett)

 

BEST MUSICAL

Bright Star

[X] Hamilton

School of Rock

Shuffle Along

Waitress

 

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL

Bright Star, Steve Martin

[X] Hamilton, Lin-Manuel Miranda

School of Rock, Julian Fellowes

Shuffle Along George C. Wolfe

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE WRITTEN FOR THE THEATRE

Bright Star,  (Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell)

[X] Hamilton, Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda

School of Rock, (Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater)

Waitress, Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

 

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY

Arthur Miller’s The Crucible

[X] Arthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge

Blackbird

Long Day’s Journey Into Night

Noises Off

 

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL

[X] The Color Purple

Fiddler on the Roof

She Loves Me

Spring Awakening

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A PLAY

Gabriel Byrne, Long Day’s Journey Into Night

Jeff Daniels, Blackbird

[X] Frank Langella, The Father

Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III

Mark Strong, Arthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE IN A PLAY

[X] Jessica Lange, Long Day’s Journey Into Night

Laurie Metcalf, Misery

Lupita Nyong’o, Eclipsed

Sophie Okonedo, Arthur Miller’s The Crucible

Michelle Williams, Blackbird

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MUSICAL

Alex Brightman, School of Rock—The Musical

Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof

Zachary Levi, She Loves Me

Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton

[X] Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MUSICAL

Laura Benanti, She Loves Me

Carmen Cusack, Bright Star

[X] Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple

Jessie Mueller, Waitress

Phillipa Soo, Hamilton

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A PLAY

[X] Reed Birney, The Humans

Bill Camp, Arthur Miller’s The Crucible

David Furr, Noises Off

Richard Goulding, King Charles III

Michael Shannon, Long Day’s Journey Into Night

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A PLAY

Pascale Armand, Eclipsed

Megan Hilty, Noises Off

[X] Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans

Andrea Martin, Noises Off

Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A MUSICAL

[X] Daveed Diggs, Hamilton

Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along

Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress

Jonathan Groff, Hamilton

Christopher Jackson, Hamilton

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A MUSICAL

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple

[X] Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton

Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me

Jennifer Simard, Disaster!

Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along

 

BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY

Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin

Christopher Oram, Hughie

Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge

[X] David Zinn, The Humans

 

BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL

Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho

David Korins, Hamilton

Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along

[X] David Rockwell, She Loves Me

 

BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY

Jane Greenwood, Long Day’s Journey Into Night

Michael Krass, Noises Off

[X] Clint Ramos, Eclipsed

Tom Scutt, King Charles III

 

BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL

Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting

Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me

[X] Ann Roth, Shuffle Along

Paul Tazewell, Hamilton

 

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY

[X] Natasha Katz, Long Day’s Journey Into Night

Justin Townsend, The Humans

Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller’s The Crucible

Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge

 

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL

[X] Howell Binkley, Hamilton

Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along

Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening

Justin Townsend, American Psycho

 

BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAY

Rupert Goold, King Charles III

Jonathan Kent, Long Day’s Journey Into Night

Joe Mantello, The Humans

Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed

[X] Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge

 

BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL

Michael Arden, Spring Awakening

John Doyle, The Color Purple

Scott Ellis, She Loves Me

[X] Thomas Kail, Hamilton

George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along

 

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY

Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton

[X] Savion Glover, Shuffle Along

Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof

Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea

Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

 

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star

Larry Hochman, She Loves Me

[X] Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton

Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along

CBS will broadcast the Tony Awards live from the Beacon Theatre in New York City at 8/7pm central, hosted by James Corden.