Arts

Parcbench’s 2016 Tony Predictions: ‘Hamilton’ Won’t Win Every Single Award

The question tonight is: which Tony awards won’t the Broadway juggernaut, Hamilton, take home? Among the Broadway theater industry, Hamilton fatigue is very real. But it won’t stop the show from winning most of the evening’s trophies, because even the fatigued voters figure that their vote in the direction of another nominee will be pointless. They’re probably right.

Even though nominee Lin Manuel Miranda is unlikely to win the award for Best Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical, Hamilton will still take home a Tony in that category; Miranda’s co-star Leslie Odom, Jr., who plays Hamilton’s nemesis, Aaron Burr, is considered the superior performance. Hamilton fans will have to be satisfied knowing that Mr. Miranda will win the awards for Best Score and Best Book. Those prizes are handed out during the pre-telecast, which means that fans eager to see him step to up the podium will have to wait until the end of the night, when the show wins Best Musical.

Here are the Parcbench.live 2016 Tony Award predictions (“X” marks the likely winner):

BEST PLAY

Eclipsed (Author: Danai Gurira)

The Father (Author: Florian Zeller)

[X] The Humans (Author: Stephen Karam)

King Charles III (Author: Mike Bartlett)

 

BEST MUSICAL

Bright Star

[X] Hamilton

School of Rock

Shuffle Along

Waitress

 

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL

Bright Star, Steve Martin

[X] Hamilton, Lin-Manuel Miranda

School of Rock, Julian Fellowes

Shuffle Along George C. Wolfe

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE WRITTEN FOR THE THEATRE

Bright Star,  (Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell)

[X] Hamilton, Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda

School of Rock, (Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater)

Waitress, Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

 

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY

Arthur Miller’s The Crucible

[X] Arthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge

Blackbird

Long Day’s Journey Into Night

Noises Off

 

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL

[X] The Color Purple

Fiddler on the Roof

She Loves Me

Spring Awakening

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A PLAY

Gabriel ByrneLong Day’s Journey Into Night

Jeff DanielsBlackbird

[X] Frank LangellaThe Father

Tim Pigott-SmithKing Charles III

Mark StrongArthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE IN A PLAY

[X] Jessica LangeLong Day’s Journey Into Night

Laurie MetcalfMisery

Lupita Nyong’oEclipsed

Sophie OkonedoArthur Miller’s The Crucible

Michelle WilliamsBlackbird

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MUSICAL

Alex BrightmanSchool of Rock—The Musical

Danny BursteinFiddler on the Roof

Zachary LeviShe Loves Me

Lin-Manuel MirandaHamilton

[X] Leslie Odom, Jr.Hamilton

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MUSICAL

Laura BenantiShe Loves Me

Carmen CusackBright Star

[X] Cynthia ErivoThe Color Purple

Jessie MuellerWaitress

Phillipa SooHamilton

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A PLAY

[X] Reed BirneyThe Humans

Bill CampArthur Miller’s The Crucible

David FurrNoises Off

Richard GouldingKing Charles III

Michael ShannonLong Day’s Journey Into Night

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A PLAY

Pascale ArmandEclipsed

Megan HiltyNoises Off

[X] Jayne HoudyshellThe Humans

Andrea MartinNoises Off

Saycon SengblohEclipsed

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A MUSICAL

[X] Daveed DiggsHamilton

Brandon Victor DixonShuffle Along

Christopher FitzgeraldWaitress

Jonathan GroffHamilton

Christopher JacksonHamilton

 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A MUSICAL

Danielle BrooksThe Color Purple

[X] Renée Elise GoldsberryHamilton

Jane KrakowskiShe Loves Me

Jennifer SimardDisaster!

Adrienne WarrenShuffle Along

 

BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY

Beowulf BorittThérèse Raquin

Christopher OramHughie

Jan VersweyveldArthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge

[X] David ZinnThe Humans

 

BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL

Es Devlin & Finn RossAmerican Psycho

David KorinsHamilton

Santo LoquastoShuffle Along

[X] David RockwellShe Loves Me

 

BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY

Jane GreenwoodLong Day’s Journey Into Night

Michael KrassNoises Off

[X] Clint RamosEclipsed

Tom ScuttKing Charles III

 

BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL

Gregg BarnesTuck Everlasting

Jeff MahshieShe Loves Me

[X] Ann RothShuffle Along

Paul TazewellHamilton

 

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY

[X] Natasha KatzLong Day’s Journey Into Night

Justin TownsendThe Humans

Jan VersweyveldArthur Miller’s The Crucible

Jan VersweyveldArthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge

 

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL

[X] Howell BinkleyHamilton

Jules Fisher & Peggy EisenhauerShuffle Along

Ben StantonSpring Awakening

Justin TownsendAmerican Psycho

 

BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAY

Rupert GooldKing Charles III

Jonathan KentLong Day’s Journey Into Night

Joe MantelloThe Humans

Liesl TommyEclipsed

[X] Ivo Van HoveArthur Miller’s A View from the Bridge

 

BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL

Michael ArdenSpring Awakening

John DoyleThe Color Purple

Scott EllisShe Loves Me

[X] Thomas KailHamilton

George C. WolfeShuffle Along

 

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY

Andy BlankenbuehlerHamilton

[X] Savion GloverShuffle Along

Hofesh ShechterFiddler on the Roof

Randy SkinnerDames at Sea

Sergio TrujilloOn Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

 

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS

August EriksmoenBright Star

Larry HochmanShe Loves Me

[X] Alex LacamoireHamilton

Daryl WatersShuffle Along

CBS will broadcast the Tony Awards live from the Beacon Theatre in New York City at 8/7pm central, hosted by James Corden.

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